Next, Investors Will Monitor Some Key Market Triggers in the Coming Week. The Last Set of March Quarter Earnings for Fiscal 2024-25 (Q4Fy25), Domestic Macroeconomic Data, Scheduled Monthly Expiry of May Derivatives Contracts, Fund Fund Flows, And Global Cues Will Dictate The Market trend in the week.
Indian Stock Market Trends
India’s Capital Market Closed The Week on a Subdued Note, with Domestic Equity Benchmarks Nifty and Sensex Declining Nearly 0.7 per cent Each, Settling at 24,853 and 81,721, respectively. In contrast, the bank nifty index edged up by 43 points, buoyed by positive sentiments in banking indices.
“Despite the Downturn, The Nifty 50 Continues to Trade Above Its Key Moving Average, Including The 21-Day and 200-Day Emas, Indicating Underling Strength,” Said Puneet Singhania, DIRECTOR TRISTOR Group.
Rising Us Treasury Yields Damped Investor Sentimen, with the 10-Year Yield Hitting 4.63 per cent, Its Highest Since Februry. According to Ajit Mishra, SVP, Research, Religare Brooking, Mixed Corporate Earnings and Delays in Finalising The India-Hus Trade Agreement Added to the Uncertainty, Profiting Profit-Loging and AMONCE Market Participants.
“Expectations of a normal monsoon, which is favorable for Agricultural Productivity, Combined with Declining Crude Oil Pries, Are Likely to Keep Infectionary Pressures Subdued,” SAID NAIR Head of Research, Geojit Investments.
“A Softer Inflation Outlook Provides Greater flexibility to MainTain an Accommodative Monetary Policy Stance, Potanally Plying The Way For Interest Rate Cuts to Support Economic Growth. Investors will be closely watching the upcoming Indian GDP Figures, Along with the Us. “
This week, the primary market will witness more action, with Several New Initial Public Offerings (IPO) and Listings Slated Across the Mainboard and Small and Medim Entrepries (sme) segments. The week will be critical from the domestic and technical points of view. Investors will track domestic macroeconomic data, geopolitical events, Along with corporate earnings.
Here are the key triggers for stock markets in the coming week:
Q4 Results, Macro Data
The release of India’s industry and manufacturing production data for April, Scheduled for May 28, Along with the fy25 and Q4Fy25 Gross Dometic Product (GDP) Domestic Product (GDP) Growth Figures, ON MAY 30, Will Offer Insiasts Into the Economic Recovery Trajectory.
Updates on the program of the monsoon will also be closely monitored. The Final Leg of the Q4 Earnings Season – With Results from Key Companies Like Bajaj Auto, Aurobindo Pharma, and IRCTC –Will remain in Focus. Investors will closely track the management commentary and sectoral trends.
IPO Action: 9 new issues to hit d-street
Four New Mainboard Public Issues will open for subscription in the coming week: the aegis vopak terminals IPO, leela hotels IPO (Schloss Bangalore Ltd), Prostarm Info Systems IPO, and SCODAA Tubes iPo. Additionally, five new sme iPos will also be open for bidding in the next five days. Check full list here
Fii Activity
The Foreign Institutional Investors (Fiis) Sold 11,591 Crore, While Diis Bought 11,199 Crore during the week. Foreign Portfolio Investment (FPI) Flows in India Have Seen Significant Outflows in Recent Quarters, dragged by Weak Corporate Earnings, Election Uncertailies, and A Slowdown in Uraban in Uraban Consumption.
These domestic concerns were compounded by global headwinds, including fears of a Slowdown due to potential policy changes, such as tariffs from the trump administ, which ignite Currencies, bond markets, and delayed decision-making by large global corporates.
However, history sugges that periods of intenses FPI Sell-Offs are followed by strong rebounds. Early Signs of Renewed Interest Have Emerged in Recent Weeks, Indicating Potential Optimism. India’s position as one of the Fastest-Growing Major Economies Remains a Key Attraction for Global Investors.
“While Short-Term UncertainTies May Persist Due to Global Developments, The Long-Term Outlook for FPI Flows Flows Into India Remains Positive -Specially If Corporatee Earnings align Market Valuations, Enhancing Investor Confidence and Justifying Sustained Capital Inflows, “said saurabh patwa, head of research and portfolio manager, Quest Investment Advisors.
Global Cues
On the global front, rising us bonds and concerns over the us’s debt burden triggered Foreign Portfolio Outflows, Putting President on Emerging Markets, Including India. Speculation Around Favorable Developments in the US-China Trade Deal Raised Concerns about Potential Capital Outflows or Reduced Inflows Infeedian Markets, Further Denting Sentiment.
Volativity May Rise Amid The Expected Announcement of a New Us Tax Policy, Which Cold IMPACT Global Investments Flows in the long run. On the Global Front, Developments in the Us Bond Market, The release of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Minutes, and Progress in the India-Hus Trade Negotiations will continue to infeluen
Analysts say that Possible Progress in the India-As Trade Deal and Comments from Us Fed Chair Jerome Powell will also also also shape market sentiment. On Monday, May 26, Us Fed Chairman Jerome Powell will deliver a speech, offering insurance into the us federal reserve’s monetary policy stance.
Market Participants will look for signals on future rate decisions, especially with potential shifts under trump’s policies and economic uncertaintiies. On Wednsday, May 28, The Fomc Minutes from the May 6–7, 2025, Meeting will be released.
The Minutes will detail the us federal reserve’s discussions on the current 4.25–4.50 per cent federal rate and provide key insights into the Us Fed’s OUTLOOK on Interest Rates, Inflation, and the Economi.
The US GDP Growth Rate (Second Estimate, Q1 2025) is set to be released on Thursday, May 29. Meanwhile, The Us Initial Jobless Claims Claims data will be relays Market Health.
Corporate action
Shares of Bajaj Finance, ITC, Angel One, L&T Finance, Tata Consumer Products, Lloyds Metals and Energy, Infosys, Colgate Palmolive (India), and Several Others will make ex-development Week, Starting from Monday, May 26. Shares of some stocks will also also trade ex-bonus. Check full list here
Technical View
Technically, nifty 50 is undergoing a consolidation phase, with immediati support Around 24,500, Near Its Short-Term Moving Average. On the UPSIDE, a decisive breakout Above 25,200 clock reignite Bullym Momentum and Pave the way Toward the 25,600 Level. Read full technical analysis here
Disclaimer: The views and recommendations provided in this analysis are that of individual analysts or broking companies, not mint. We Strongly Advise Investors to Consult With Certified Experts, Consider Individual Risk Tolerance, and Conduct Thorough Research Before Making Investment decisions, as market customs Rapidly, and individual circumstances may vary.
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